Real Estate Report

Austin metro's home price is flat for the first time since 2019, report says

"Normal market activity could be here to stay," says Austin Board of Realtors.

Preservation Austin

The Austin housing market is normalizing, and for the first time since before the pandemic, metro home prices are not on the rise.

According to the Austin Board of Realtors' latest monthly report, November 2022 marked the first time since February 2019 that the median home price for the Austin-Round Rock metro area was flat. The metro's median registered at $467,955 last month, the same as November 2021, meaning 0 percent year-over-year growth.

At the same time, housing inventory nearly quadrupled from last year, to 3.1 months at the metro level, and the average time spent on the market grew to a whopping 58 days, leading to further market stabilization.

At the city level, Austin actually saw a drop in its median home price, down to $530,000, compared to $550,000 in October 2022. Austin homes were on the market for 48 days, up from 21 days last November. The city now boasts 2.6 months of inventory, compared to just 0.7 months a year ago.

Travis County's median price grew to $529,000 in November 2022, up from a year ago, but down from October 2022, when it sat at $544,950.

This is the first time since spring 2020 that ABoR's monthly report did not have record-breaking figures for home sales or price growth, the organization notes. In fact, the November report indicates "normal market activity could be here to stay."

“It’s a relief to see more homes available and sitting on the market long enough to give buyers an opportunity to think before they leap,” says Cord Shiflet, ABoR president, in a release. “This healthy competition creates an opportunity for homebuyers, who may have struggled within the past two years, to take their time and find a home they love.”

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Homebuyers can afford to be picky as Austin housing inventory rises

Photo by Avinash Kumar on Unsplash

Housing economist Clare Losey said the most significant factor affecting home sales in Austin is high mortgage rates.

The latest real estate report from Unlock MLS and the Austin Board of Realtors (ABoR) has revealed housing inventory is still on a steady rise in the Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos MSA, creating more choices for potential homebuyers as they navigate a high interest rate market.

Residential home sales dipped by a mere 1.5 percent year-over-year from October 2023, amounting to 2,248 closed sales in the Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos MSA. Median prices have also dropped to $430,000, or 3.2 percent less than this time last year. More than 3,300 new home listings were added on the market — a 7.4 percent increase from 2023 — bringing the total number of active home listings to 11,599.

According to Unlock MLS and ABoR housing economist Clare Losey, Ph.D., October's mortgage rates stood at 6.4 percent and are showing no signs of a significant drop in the near future. Even heading into 2025, Losey says potential homebuyers who are biding their time in the hopes of seeing rates plummet "may be in for a long wait."

"In the meantime, sellers must recognize that bringing buyers to the table requires a more aggressive pricing approach," Losey said. "Even in a more balanced market, buyers with limited purchasing power are struggling to meet current price expectations."

As for the overall health of the Central Texas housing market, 2024 Unlock MLS and ABoR president Kent Redding labeled recent news reports that called Austin "ground zero" for a downturn as an "extreme over-exaggeration."

"Austin led the state and nation in record-breaking home price growth and sales activity during the pandemic," Redding said. "For three years, near-zero housing inventory, numerous offers above list price and a rapid-paced market raised home prices and left little negotiating power for buyers. During this record-setting growth, ABoR and Unlock MLS consistently emphasized the unsustainability of the rapid growth, and now, our market is working to balance those extremes."

Central Texas housing trends in October 2024

In Travis County, 979 homes were sold last month — a slight 2.5 percent increase from last year. Median prices remained flat year-over-year at $510,000. Active home listings continued growing to 5,702 homes, which is 9.4 percent more year-over-year.

In Williamson County, 807 homes were sold in October, with median prices steadily dropping to $420,000. There were 1,028 new home listings on the market, showing a 4.5 percent increase from October 2023, bringing the total number of active home listings to 3,369.

Residential home sales dropped by nearly eight percent in Hays County in October, totaling 315 sales. Median prices also fell 5.5 percent year-over-year to $359,000. Active listings rose 6.6 percent year-over-year to 1,740 homes with the addition of 534 new listings on the market.

Meanwhile, 114 homes were sold in Bastrop County last month, which is 4.4 percent more than this time last year. Median prices dropped by a single percentage point year-over-year to $355,000. There were 654 active listings on the market in October, and 152 new home listings, representing a 1.3 percent slip in new inventory when compared to last year.

Only 33 homes were sold in Caldwell County in October to reflect a near 14 percent decline year-over-year from October 2023. Median prices fell to $262,990, which was a 13.5 percent decrease from last year. There were 136 active homes on the market last month, and 40 new homes added on the market.

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